08 Jan When is Bitcoin’s macro top? Industry player speculates
Bitcoin has ridden a tremendous price rally so far in 2021, but such growth cannot go on forever.
Bitcoin’s (BTC) price momentum recently pushed the asset to almost $42,000 per coin. It has more than doubled in price over the past two months, breaking the previous record highs that it set back in 2017. Podcaster Nathaniel Whittemore recently gave his opinion on methods of spotting a macro bull market top for the digital currency.
“There isn’t really a macro top, in the sense that the conditions align so well with the narrative,” Whittemore, host of a podcast called The Breakdown, told Cointelegraph. He added:
“If we see another big round of aggressive fiscal action under the Dems, and after a few months velocity of money is still low and inflation is constrained, you could see a shift back among certain money managers and institutions to the idea that inflation just isn’t something to be worried about, which could hurt some of the animating thesis.”
Following a price bottom in March, Bitcoin rebounded faster than the United States stock market, which suffered similar decline. After completing its third-ever halving event in May, the asset trended sideways at times throughout the summer, but its overall macro trend carried an upward lean. BTC’s price momentum increased in 2020’s latter months, in line with a number of large companies allocating capital to the digital asset.
The U.S. economic scene also plays into the equation. The government has worked on a number of stimulus packages, and has printed a significant amount of dollars.
Previous macro Bitcoin bull markets have come with price corrections amid a grander bullish outlook. Local tops refer to shorter-term price summits occurring prior to corrections within such a macro landscape. “A more local top could come if people get nervous that it’s just too frothy and overheated with new retail investors coming in,” Whittemore said. “That hasn’t happened yet but seems starting (ie see Coinbase jumping to #25 on Apple free apps).”
Just eight days into the new year, Bitcoin has already risen more than 40%, based on TradingView.com data. “The speed of the ascent is pretty dizzying – no denying that,” Whittemore explained, adding:
“But I think really what’s happening is a massively undervalued asset with by design insanely constrained supply is finally being repriced. A whole lot of big buyers have been unlocked and there’s not enough to go around.”
Bitcoin has a capped maximum supply of 21 million coins, giving it a built-in scarcity aspect. Be that as it may, the asset is still less than 15 years old, with its value worth what people will pay for it, similar to gold, as Mark Cuban has previously posited. Some experts, such as financial commentator Peter Schiff, still remain skeptical of the asset, calling it a bubble.